Another Demcrat out of Florida's Governor's Race

Told you she wouldn't run. . .

Word Slips That Castor Won't Run In 2006
By WILLIAM MARCH and ALLISON NORTH JONES
The Tampa Tribune

TAMPA - Betty Castor is telling friends and supporters she will not be a candidate for governor next year.
Her withdrawal would take the best-known Democrat out of the 2006 race but open the field for others, particularly U.S. Rep. Jim Davis, of Tampa.

``I'm disappointed,'' said retired banker Alex Sink, Democratic Party activist and wife of 2002 Florida gubernatorial candidate Bill McBride. ``I think she'd make a fabulous governor.''

Sink said Castor, 63, told her this week of her decision not to run. Sink said the highly negative Senate campaign between Castor and Mel Martinez last year might be part of the reason.

It has to be, Sink said.

``We're in a very bad political environment in this country in the level of discourse,'' Sink said. ``Anybody can say anything bad about you, and it doesn't matter whether it's true or not.''

Castor, who still is in the process of telling supporters about her decision, wouldn't confirm it when reached for an interview late Thursday.

She didn't deny it, however, and said the report wasn't ``timely.''

``I've had a few discussions with people to tell them I'm very close to a decision,'' she said.

``I have some issues I care very much about and where I want to spend my time,'' including a constitutional amendment referendum drive she hopes to lead on legislative redistricting.

``I think I'd like to pursue [those issues] first and foremost,'' Castor said. ``At this point, there are a lot of good candidates out there, and I think in fairness to them it would be important for me to make a decision as soon as possible.''

For Davis, who already has announced he will run, Castor's withdrawal would present an undivided home turf advantage in the Tampa Bay area, where many voters otherwise would have faced a tough decision between two of the most prominent Democratic names in the area.

Field Narrowed

It also leaves Davis as probably the best-known Democrat in the race.

In recent polls, Castor has led the field of declared and potential Democratic candidates. Lawton ``Bud'' Chiles Jr., son of the former governor, came in second and Davis third.

Chiles withdrew from the race this week because he didn't satisfy residency requirements to hold the office.

State Sen. Rod Smith, D- Gainesville, has announced he will run. Another potential candidate, state Democratic Party Chairman Scott Maddox, has said he will run if Castor doesn't.

Davis said he couldn't comment before talking to Castor about her decision.

``Betty Castor is a tremendous public servant, and I'm working closely with her on the effort to take redistricting away from the politicians and give it to citizens. I hope to continue that,'' he said.

Maddox repeated his stance that he won't run if Castor remains in the race. ``I'm a huge fan of Betty Castor. ... Before I take the next step in my decision-making process, I'm going to wait to hear directly from her that she has absolutely closed the door to running for governor.''

Castor was expected to be the front-runner in the Democratic primary because she has won two statewide races - for education commissioner in 1986 and 1990 - and just finished a U.S. Senate race, which she lost narrowly while spending more than $11 million building her name recognition statewide.

``If she is out, the race is wide open,'' said former Tampa City Council member and prominent Democrat Bob Buckhorn. ``She had the name recognition and the ability to raise the money.''

Her withdrawal helps Davis the most, he said. ``They would have been competing for a lot of the same money, a lot of the same news coverage in the same media market, and they're similar politically - both moderate and deliberative.''

Republicans also are expected to have a primary race for governor, possibly including Attorney General Charlie Crist, state Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher and Lt. Gov. Toni Jennings.

After her loss in the Senate race last year, Castor founded an organization called the Campaign for Florida's Future to lead a petition drive for a constitutional amendment on redistricting.

She hopes to put the amendment on the 2006 ballot. It would create a neutral commission to draw district lines for congressional and state legislative seats.

The Legislature now draws the districts, and the party that controls the Legislature can use sophisticated computer programs to design districts beneficial to incumbents and party members.

First But Not Last

Writer Doris Weatherford, a long-time Castor supporter, said she fears if Castor doesn't run for governor, it will mean the end of her career in elective politics - ``a tremendous loss to us,'' she said.

There still may be a Castor on next year's ballot.

Castor's daughter, Hillsborough County Commissioner Kathy Castor, is widely expected to run for Davis' congressional seat.

``Knowing how close the Castor family is, I wouldn't be surprised if [Betty Castor] isn't ready to pass the torch to her daughter and work just as hard as she did for herself,'' Buckhorn said.

Castor long has been one of the most prominent political faces in the Tampa Bay area and has compiled a long list of political firsts: first woman elected as a Hillsborough County commissioner, first female Florida Senate president pro tem, first woman elected to the Florida Cabinet, first female president of the University of South Florida.


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well then (none / 0)

Davis it is, he'll be a strong candidate.
by Jerome Armstrong on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 10:31:05 AM EST

Well then! (3.00 / 1)

Does Jim Davis have a chance? I thought Castor and Chiles were the best possibilities, and they're both out now. Can Davis win?
by raginillinoian on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 11:07:52 AM EST

Disappointing (none / 0)

She was our best chance to win in 2006.
by boshtang on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 11:13:25 AM EST

Not seeing the forest for the trees (none / 0)

"Anybody can say anything bad about you, and it doesn't matter whether it's true or not."

I'm sorry, but this is why Dems need to get on the ball.

What we're talking about is a move toward fascism, where enemies of the state are roundly denounced and the media parrots it.

If established political leaders don't oppose it, then odds are they're giving the GOP time to solidify their position and keep this sort of libel going.

by jcjcjc on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 11:14:04 AM EST

It's shame (none / 0)

It's a shame that Castor isn't running...she was our best hope for victory (and for Bill Nelson). Who'll get the nod now? Davis would have to be the frontrunner, but I use that very loosely and it's only because of a perceived greater fundraising strength on Davis's part. Don't be suprised to see Scott Maddox get in. While I don't think he's got that good of a chance to win in the general, he's got a great shot at the primary. He's a tough campaigner, he's got a strong North Florida base, and more importantly, he has deeper connections in South Florida (gold coast) than do either Davis or Smith. From what I'm hearing, there's a revolt building among SoFla Dems who are tired of the party nominating Tampa-based moderates.
by blueflorida on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 11:22:20 AM EST

Davis v. Maddox (none / 0)

Why would Maddox have that much less of a chance in the general than Davis?  And why would he be considered more progressive than Davis among SE Fla Dems?
by Paleo on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 02:35:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Davis v. Maddox (none / 0)

Because with Davis being a multi-term incumbent congressman from the largest media market in the state (Tampa Bay) he has an advantage over Maddox who's from Tallahassee. The I-4 corridor is decisive in any statewide election. Plus, Chairman of the Democratic Party, isn't the greatest title to have going into a general election. Florida likes perceived moderates. It'll be hard for Maddox to be perceived as a moderate, although he is a genuine moderate, because of the title. Maddox's extensive work in South Florida last year, and his under-the-radar boosting of Alex Penelas in the 2004 US Senate primary, give him potential strength down there.
by blueflorida on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 03:18:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Could be Rod Smith (none / 0)

Rumor is that Jim Davis is a weak campaigner and fundraiser.  He talked about running last time and deliberated so long that Janet Reno and Bill McBride secured most of the support.

Rod Smith, who is a state senator from Gainsville, is making waves.  He is a hard worker, is already making the rounds with florida donors, and has a good profile to run (he was a District Attorney and prosecuted a serial killer).  He isn't well know, though and he might be too conservative for south florida.

I guarantee that Scott Maddox will jump in now that Castor is out.  As party chair he has some contacts, but he lost a primary for Attorney General 4 years ago so how does he win the governor's race now?

I bet there will some pressure now to find another big name candidate.  Don't know who that might be though.

by FloridaD on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 11:38:13 AM EST

This sucks (none / 0)

We are getting killed in a state that used to be a true swing state.  If it is true that we can't be competitive in Florida, then what hope do we have of putting a Democrat in the White House?
by meme on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 12:40:02 PM EST

Re: This sucks (none / 0)

Lots of chances.  The Abe Lincoln strategy still works.  Lose the whole south and win the northeast, industrial midwest, and now the west coast and you are in.  Just have to win Ohio or get off our duffs in the southwest.  I can't for the life of me see why Nevada and New Mexico went for Bush in 04.  Add colorado and Arizona or sub with Ohio and the millstone of the south will sink the Publicans about as sure as it did Jeff Davis.

And for a landslide, what ABOUT Kansas.

by David Kowalski on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 02:54:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: This sucks (none / 0)

Kansas is out of reach.  The problem with the Abe Lincoln strategy is that after the next round of congressional reapportionment, even adding Ohio to our column would not be enough.

The thought of going into a presidential election with Hillary on the top of the ticket scares me.  She is hated in the South.

Loathed.

by meme on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 04:49:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Kansas is only out of reach if Dems let it be (none / 0)

It's bills like the bankruptcy bill that are killing the Democratic party. There are a dozen corporate DLC scumbags that give the solid Republican majority enough votes to pass any stinking corporate welfare bill they want to.

We have to start ditching Biden, Dodd, Feinstein and the two Bens. I don't care who it is, if they vote like corporate scumbags, they should be treated like corporate scumbags.

If the Dems could put together a genuine economic populist majority it would sweep the country for the next fifty years. Kitchen table economic issues like Class Action, Bankruptcy, the Minumum Wage and Medical Malpractice Caps are the economic wedge issues that kill the Democratic party.

by Gary Boatwright on Fri Mar 04, 2005 at 05:07:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Kansas is only out of reach if Dems let it be (none / 0)

I agree.

But who are the two Bens?  Ben Nelson and ...

Did you mean "the two Nelsons, Ben and Bill"?

by meme on Sat Mar 05, 2005 at 05:29:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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